Backtesting Arena

Backtesting Arena

Does 200 WMA Filter help OBV-MACD?

Forex · 30 backtest runs · As of 6 Jul 2026 · Methodology

NeutralDSR ✗ not confirmed

No material CAGR effect (±1pp vs. baseline). Filter may still reduce drawdown.

CAGR Comparison

Baseline CAGR
0.3%
no filter
Filtered CAGR
0.1%
200 WMA Filter
Δ CAGR
-0.25%
Sample
30
runs
Baseline Net CAGR
0.0%
after costs
Filtered Net CAGR
-0.1%
after costs

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Baseline Sharpe
0.108
median
Filtered Sharpe
0.001
Δ Sharpe
-0.11
DSR
0.6%
not confirmed

How does this filter work?

BUY signals only when price > 200-week MA

DSR Methodology

DSR = PSR(SR̂₀) per Bailey & López de Prado (2014). SR̂₀ = 0.4468 (expected best Sharpe from 7 random filter trials).

Testing multiple filters on the same data increases the chance of finding a good result by luck. DSR measures whether this result clears the multiple-testing threshold. Pass threshold: DSR ≥ 90%. Current: 0.6%.

Full analysis in Edge Library

Per-asset breakdown, trade-level data, Sharpe comparison — available after sign-in.

← All edge reportsComputed 6 Jul 2026 · Methodology