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Does ATR Expansion help OBV-MACD?

Etf ยท 30 backtest runs ยท As of 6 Jul 2026 ยท Methodology

HurtsDSR โœ“ confirmed

This filter reduces median CAGR by more than 1 percentage point โ€” either more false signals or too many blocked trades.

CAGR Comparison

Baseline CAGR
7.4%
no filter
Filtered CAGR
3.2%
ATR Expansion
ฮ” CAGR
-4.20%
Sample
30
runs
Baseline Net CAGR
6.9%
after costs
Filtered Net CAGR
3.1%
after costs

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Baseline Sharpe
0.444
median
Filtered Sharpe
0.394
ฮ” Sharpe
-0.05
DSR
99.9%
confirmed โ‰ฅ90%

How does this filter work?

Signals only during ATR expansion (trend onset)

DSR Methodology

DSR = PSR(SRฬ‚โ‚€) per Bailey & Lรณpez de Prado (2014). SRฬ‚โ‚€ = 0.4975 (expected best Sharpe from 7 random filter trials).

Testing multiple filters on the same data increases the chance of finding a good result by luck. DSR measures whether this result clears the multiple-testing threshold. Pass threshold: DSR โ‰ฅ 90%. Current: 99.9%.

Full analysis in Edge Library

Per-asset breakdown, trade-level data, Sharpe comparison โ€” available after sign-in.

โ† All edge reportsComputed 6 Jul 2026 ยท Methodology
ATR Expansion + OBV-MACD on Etf โ€” Edge Analysis | Backtesting Arena | Backtesting Arena