Backtesting Arena

Backtesting Arena

Does ATR Expansion help Stoch-RSI / SMA?

Forex · 56 backtest runs · As of 22 Jun 2026 · Methodology

NeutralDSR ✗ not confirmed

No material CAGR effect (±1pp vs. baseline). Filter may still reduce drawdown.

CAGR Comparison

Baseline CAGR
0.1%
no filter
Filtered CAGR
0.5%
ATR Expansion
Δ CAGR
+0.40%
Sample
56
runs

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Baseline Sharpe
0.008
median
Filtered Sharpe
0.201
Δ Sharpe
+0.19
DSR
29.4%
not confirmed

How does this filter work?

Signals only during ATR expansion (trend onset)

DSR Methodology

DSR = PSR(SR̂₀) per Bailey & López de Prado (2014). SR̂₀ = 0.4975 (expected best Sharpe from 7 random filter trials).

Testing multiple filters on the same data increases the chance of finding a good result by luck. DSR measures whether this result clears the multiple-testing threshold. Pass threshold: DSR ≥ 90%. Current: 29.4%.

Full analysis in Edge Library

Per-asset breakdown, trade-level data, Sharpe comparison — available after sign-in.

← All edge reportsComputed 22 Jun 2026 · Methodology