Backtesting Arena

Backtesting Arena

Does ATR Expansion help Stoch-RSI / SMA?

Etf · 60 backtest runs · As of 22 Jun 2026 · Methodology

HurtsDSR ✗ not confirmed

This filter reduces median CAGR by more than 1 percentage point — either more false signals or too many blocked trades.

CAGR Comparison

Baseline CAGR
5.0%
no filter
Filtered CAGR
1.8%
ATR Expansion
Δ CAGR
-3.20%
Sample
60
runs

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Baseline Sharpe
0.313
median
Filtered Sharpe
0.245
Δ Sharpe
-0.07
DSR
14.5%
not confirmed

How does this filter work?

Signals only during ATR expansion (trend onset)

DSR Methodology

DSR = PSR(SR̂₀) per Bailey & López de Prado (2014). SR̂₀ = 0.4887 (expected best Sharpe from 7 random filter trials).

Testing multiple filters on the same data increases the chance of finding a good result by luck. DSR measures whether this result clears the multiple-testing threshold. Pass threshold: DSR ≥ 90%. Current: 14.5%.

Full analysis in Edge Library

Per-asset breakdown, trade-level data, Sharpe comparison — available after sign-in.

← All edge reportsComputed 22 Jun 2026 · Methodology